Project Expected Monetary Analysis
Project Expected Monetary Value Analysis.
Expected Monetary value analysis is a risk analysis tool in project management
Example
Expected Monetary Valuation (EMV) is calculated as P*I
P stands for Probability
I stand for Impact
Risk 1 : Probability =50% P
Impact =$30,000 I
EMV1 = P*I =.50*$30,000=$15,000
Risk 2: Probability = 70%
Impact = %50,000
EMV2= P*I = .70*$50,000=$35,000
Risk 3 : Probability= 40%
Impact=$70,000
EMV3= P*I = .40*$70,000=$28,000
Risk 4: Probability=60%
Impact=$40,000
EMV4= P*I = .60*$40,000=$24,000
Expected total impact= EMV1+ EMV2+ EMV3+ EMV4
=$15,000+$35,000+$28,000+$24,000= $102,000